Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 0.014024 0.016296 0.018805 0.021779 0.025206 0.029029 0.033617
2026-01-11 0.010304 0.013148 0.016577 0.021008 0.026577 0.033336 0.042157
2026-01-18 0.008031 0.011115 0.015127 0.020713 0.028272 0.038130 0.051945
2026-01-25 0.006333 0.009421 0.013718 0.020108 0.029339 0.042155 0.061266
2026-02-01 0.005148 0.008171 0.012641 0.019689 0.030477 0.046311 0.071249
2026-02-08 0.004300 0.007241 0.011832 0.019465 0.031773 0.050759 0.082159
2026-02-15 0.003582 0.006370 0.010949 0.018943 0.032464 0.054293 0.092043
2026-02-22 0.003237 0.006049 0.010883 0.019703 0.035277 0.061468 0.108606
2026-03-01 0.002824 0.005532 0.010395 0.019648 0.036666 0.066409 0.121993
2026-03-08 0.002388 0.004896 0.009593 0.018896 0.036687 0.068946 0.131431
2026-03-15 0.002097 0.004487 0.009143 0.018716 0.037702 0.073325 0.144656
2026-03-22 0.001978 0.004401 0.009293 0.019706 0.041052 0.082366 0.167632
2026-03-29 0.001814 0.004201 0.009200 0.020217 0.043573 0.090224 0.189480
2026-04-05 0.001574 0.003795 0.008624 0.019645 0.043811 0.093629 0.202907
2026-04-12 0.001398 0.003504 0.008247 0.019443 0.044796 0.098650 0.220258
2026-04-19 0.001222 0.003184 0.007756 0.018913 0.044986 0.102022 0.234508
2026-04-26 0.001081 0.002922 0.007360 0.018537 0.045465 0.106051 0.250653
2026-05-03 0.000968 0.002713 0.007056 0.018336 0.046310 0.110970 0.269342
2026-05-10 0.000854 0.002480 0.006660 0.017848 0.046402 0.114176 0.284456
2026-05-17 0.000813 0.002438 0.006739 0.018568 0.049550 0.124864 0.318469
2026-05-24 0.000741 0.002295 0.006533 0.018518 0.050749 0.131027 0.342251
2026-05-31 0.000649 0.002081 0.006103 0.017809 0.050145 0.132702 0.355118
2026-06-07 0.000589 0.001949 0.005883 0.017639 0.050951 0.137998 0.377774